Two eliminations will be contested for the three-year-old
filly pacers.
The first looks to be a battle between American Jewel and
Economy Terror, though we take a look at their underdog rivals.
Ramalama has shown significant improvement within the last
few months. She raced very well on the New York Sires Stakes circuit, showing
she was capable of challenging these fillies at Lexington during the Grand
Circuit meeting.
The other value play in here is Bettor B Lucky. She has been
on a slight layoff, skipping The Red Mile and qualifying at Freehold. She is
fresher than these other fillies and could put on quite a show in this event.
The second elimination favorite, Romantic Moment, drew the
far outside and gives rivals to her inside a decent shot.
We will take Handsoffmycookie. She has not raced against the
top fillies since last year’s Breeders Crown but has gotten the luck of fast
miles and tough rivalries in this division to tire some of the top filly foes.
She should be very sharp returning to top company this week.
The three-year-old colt trotters will also contest two
eliminations.
Little Brown Fox headlines the first group and is the only
horse in this field to have recently raced with the top trotters. Our mind, on
the other hand, is concentrated upon Prestidigitator.
The Kadabra son, who has scored for us this year and was our
unsuccessful Hambletonian choice, has a hometown advantage in Toronto, as he is
a regular on this circuit. He draws into the weaker of two elims and should be
a great value wager against Little Brown Fox, who is arguably as good as the
top dog, Market Choice, on any given day.
Market Share dominates the second elimination for the
glamour-boy trotters. If you are ready to bet against Market Share, calm down.
He’ll likely romp in the elim at a poor price (even low-priced overlays can be
over bet). He could be vulnerable in the final based on the other 14 trotters
performances this week.
The final group of sophomore eliminations will feature
three-year-old colt pacers.
Thinking Out Loud and Bettor’s Edge will likely be heavy betting
interests in the first elim. We went to their outside and took Hillbilly
Hanover to win this elimination.
He produced a stunning effort in the Tattersalls Pace,
racing first over into the far turn and nearly passing Sweet Lou at the wire.
This colt has been improving recently and is maturing late in the season, which
is a key sign to look for in a Breeders Crown upset.
The second chapter attracts top names—A Rocknroll Dance,
Michaels Power and Sweet Lou among them. Sweet Lou has shown improvement but
remains suspect to coming up short, Michaels Power, a supplement, has always
been vulnerable among his piers and A Rocknroll Dance is recovering from throat
surgery.
Mel Mara looks to be the “now” horse and the value wager.
Coming off a victory versus Michaels Power, Mel Mara came back onto the stakes
scene with a victory in the Bluegrass Stakes at The Red Mile. He returned a
week later and finished a strong fourth in the Tattersalls Pace. The public may
ignore him this week because of the brand names racing around him but he should
provide tough competition against the top pacers.
The final elim scheduled for Saturday is for the Open Mare
Trot field.
Two horses caught our eye in this wide-open division, Tamla
Celeber S and Beatgoeson Hanover.
Tamla Celeber S had two strong starts in America, one in the
Pride In Progress and the other in the Allerage. Though she was disappointing
in the Allerage, she ships up north this week and should may use herself up
early like she did in those two miles, resulting in a powerful mile.
Beatgoeson Hanover is coming off of a great race in the
Allerage. She was a closing third, behind Frenchfriesnvinegar. She draws the
rail and will likely be in the mix early and should provide value in this
contest.
See the TwinSpires blog for more Breeders Crown action
and news and contacts for next week’s single-night finals program.
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