The Breeders Crown finals analysis for Friday (Nov. 21) and Saturday (Nov. 22) continue from the TwinSpires harnessblog on the main site.
There will be only one more edition of this blog for 2014, which will be an epilogue
essay addressing the the season. It is scheduled for the week following the
This blog looks at the older events for both sexes on both gaits.
Friday, Nov. 21
Mares Trot ($250,000)
Bee A Magician will headline the wagering here, no doubt, but she will have to
work for this victory. Classic Martine has been a problem for her, especially
at the Meadowlands, and Ma Chere Hall goes for new connections (she chased
“Bee” a lot at three and picked up some good checks). D’Orsay, of course, is still
the highest priced winner we have supported this season, winning over the
summer to pay $100 or so, and she is always available to topple a field at a
And then there’s Mistery Woman, who is getting better with age and recently
ignored by the public when winning. Last week’s 15-1 win by Handover Belle
depended upon Bee’s outland journey, while “Mistery” went off a notch less at
14-1. Mistery had the most impressive trip and should once again go off higher
than she deserves. Bee will pick up the place, most likely getting a far better
Saturday, Nov. 22
Mares Pace ($281,250)
Let’s allow the public to believe Anndrovette can win every Breeders Crown
Mares Pace in which she is entered and take the odds down too far so we can
rally with a price in this here-we-go-again group that always delivers deep
challenged miles. Two supplements, Yagonnakissmeornot and Venus Delight, have
more to lose than the regulars but don’t expect the others to make that an
edge. If the two or three that want the front get too frisky with the
fractions, the main closer, Rocklamation, will eat up the stretch with her
However, this could wind up a strategic win with a last-mare-standing finish.
Multi-talented Somwherovrarainbow will be in a good spot to avoid duels and dig
in late. As well, Camille is on the rail and may be gifted more room than usual
(she has disappointed a few times as a choice so perhaps she would like to be
on the board as an outsider).
Open Pace ($400,000)
There are only seven stalwart pacers here, yet there could be a good price on
Sweet Lou, considering he has not been scoring ones of late. He is still the
best here and could come right back to his seasonal shape and eat up all four
quarters. Some of these horses have loyal fans, so expect the win pool to be
spread out. Foiled Again, Clear Vision, Thinking Out Loud and State Treasurer
all have followers that will play for some kind of glory, as opposed to profit.
Open Trot ($500,000)
Four veteran trotters show up due to byes, so that means Commander Crowe,
Creatine, Intimidate and Market Share had a week off to prepare for this heavy
mile; heavy because the group is fast and experienced and each is full of his
or herself. The she is Maven, who won the elim impressively against the males
last week, going for the first time in the Takter barn. We were second last
week with Your So Vain and that race brings us to this race regardless of the
freshened foursome. One of that four, of course, is the foreign Commander
Crowe. How his style affects the mile remains to be seen but considering the
mixture of early-and-late speed here, Your So Vain is in the perfect spot and
could be the perfect price for a score (which his trainer, Ake Svanstedt, would
love to happen since his prize trotter, Sebastian K—who has beaten “Crowe” in
Europe—is not in this event).
Crown Countdown blog and the TwinSpires harness blog weekly, with
archived reports on the results at the Hambletonian
Society web site, have brought bettors exclusive coverage through 2014.
Thank you for making our decisions a part of your wagering strategy.